Firm Financial Exposure to Climate Change Risk and Short-term Debt Maturity
Abstract
This study examines whether firms’ financial exposure to climate change risk influences short-term debt maturity and whether biodiversity targets condition this relationship. Using firm-year data for Asian listed firms from 2001 to 2024 obtained from the LSEG Eikon database, we measure short-term debt maturity as the share of total interest-bearing debt maturing within one, two, and three years. We focus on two dimensions of climate exposure—transition and physical climate risk—and investigate how biodiversity targets interact with these risks in shaping maturity choices. Our results show that firms exposed to either transition or physical climate risk rely less on short-term debt, consistent with a refinancing-risk channel in which climate-related uncertainty increases rollover costs and strengthens incentives to extend maturities. Biodiversity targets are additionally associated with lower short-term debt shares, indicating more long-horizon and resilient financing policies among target-setting firms. Importantly, interaction estimates suggest that biodiversity targets attenuate the marginal effect of climate-risk exposure on short-term debt maturity, implying that nature-related commitments may operate as a credibility and risk-buffer mechanism in debt contracting. Overall, the findings highlight debt maturity as a key financial adjustment margin to climate risk and underscore the role of biodiversity-oriented strategies in shaping corporate financial resilience.
Downloads
References
Ehlers T., Packer F., De Greiff K. The pricing of carbon risk in syndicated loans: Which risks are priced and why? Journal of Banking & Finance. 2022;136:106180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106180
Ginglinger E., Moreau Q. Climate risk and capital structure. Management Science. 2023;69(12):7151-7882. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4952
Kempa K. Physical climate risk and the pricing of bank loans. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 2025;137;103280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103280
Li Q., Shan H., Tang Y., et al. Corporate climate risk: Measurements and responses. The Review of Financial Studies. 2024;37(6):1778-1830. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhad094
Nguyen J.H., Phan H.V. Carbon risk and corporate capital structure. Journal of Corporate Finance. 2020;64:101713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020.101713
Trinh V.Q., Trinh H.H., Li T., et al. Climate change exposure, financial development, and the cost of debt: Evidence from EU countries. Journal of Financial Stability. 2024;74:101315. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101315
Barclay M.J., Smith C.W. Jr. The maturity structure of corporate debt. The Journal of Finance. 1995;50(2):609-631. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1995.tb04797.x
Diamond D.W. Debt maturity structure and liquidity risk. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 1991;106(3):709-737. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937924
Froot K.A., Scharfstein D.S., Stein J.C. Risk management: Coordinating corporate investment and financing policies. The Journal of Finance. 1993;48(5):1629-1658. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb05123.x
Modigliani F., Miller M.H. The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment. The American Economic Review. 1958;48(3):261-297. Accessed on 17.10.2025. URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/1809766
Barnea A., Haugen R.A., Senbet L.W. A rationale for debt maturity structure and call provisions in the agency theoretic framework. The Journal of Finance. 1980;35(5):1223-1234. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1980.tb02205.x
Myers S.C. Determinants of corporate borrowing. Journal of Financial Economics. 1977;5(2):147-175. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(77)90015-0
Stulz R. Managerial discretion and optimal financing policies. Journal of Financial Economics. 1990;26(1):3-27. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(90)90011-N
González V.M. The financial crisis and corporate debt maturity: The role of banking structure. Journal of Corporate Finance. 2015;35:310-328. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2015.10.002
Harford J., Klasa S., Maxwell W.F. Refinancing risk and cash holdings. The Journal of Finance. 2014;69(3):975-1012. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12133
Barclay M.J., Marx L.M., Smith C.W. Jr. The joint determination of leverage and maturity. Journal of Corporate Finance. 2003;9(2):149-167. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0929-1199(02)00003-2
Gopalan R., Song F., Yerramilli V. Debt maturity structure and credit quality. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 2014;49(4):817-842. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109014000520
Baker S.R., Bloom N., Davis S.J. Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2016;131(4):1593-1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
Datta S., Doan T., Iskandar-Datta M. Policy uncertainty and the maturity structure of corporate debt. Journal of Financial Stability. 2019;44:100694. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2019.100694
Jens C.E. Political uncertainty and investment: Causal evidence from US gubernatorial elections. Journal of Financial Economics. 2017;124(3):563-579. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.01.034
Benkraiem R., Dimic N., Piljak V., et al. Media-based climate risks and international corporate bond market. Journal of International Money and Finance. 2025;151:103260. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103260
Choi S. Climate change exposure and the use of short-term debt. Finance Research Letters. 2024;65:105579. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.105579
Goodell J.W., Palma A., Paltrinieri A., et al. Firm-level climate change risk and corporate debt maturity. Journal of International Money and Finance. 2025;152:103275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103275
Liang C., Yang J,. Shen L., et al. Bonds for a bluer tomorrow: Corporate climate concern and its impact on corporate bond maturities. Journal of International Money and Finance. 2025;153:103296. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103296
Duong K.T., Nguyen T.T., Tram H.T.X. Biodiversity risk and corporate debt maturity. International Review of Financial Analysis. 2025;107:104556. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104556
Qian J., Strahan P.E. How laws and institutions shape financial contracts: The case of bank loans. The Journal of Finance. 2007;62(6):2803-2834. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2007.01293.x
Fan J.P., Titman S., Twite G. An international comparison of capital structure and debt maturity choices. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 2012;47(1):23-56. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109011000597
Datta S., Iskandar-Datta M., Raman K. Managerial stock ownership and the maturity structure of corporate debt. The Journal of Finance. 2005;60(5):2333-2350. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00800.x
Rosenbaum P.R., Rubin D.B. The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika. 1983;70(1):41-55. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/70.1.41
Copyright (c) 2026 National Research University Higher School of Economics

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.